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Canterbury Park Winners - Tips For Friday, 10th February 2023

Tips and race by race preview by Nick Berney for Friday's Canterbury Park meeting. Selections based on a soft track. Monitor for bias/pattern.

Picture: Steve Hart

Race 1 - 6:00PM PRECISE FIRE HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

7. Episodic is a nice type and was honest last start at Kensington in a high-rating race with decisive margins. Moreover, she drifted late in the trade, but all key indicators suggest she would improve from the run and her ratings/sectional profile support this. The three-year-old has a tricky draw but is on a quick backup, will appreciate the rise in distance and brings a competitive last-start figure. Each-way.

Dangers8. Zakiyya got too far back first-up at Warwick Farm and ran on well into third place. She will be fitter for that, and stepping out to the 1550m for the first time suits her. 5. The Englishman brings a string starting price profile and receives a significant barrier change. 1. Gago maps to have all favours and add 2. Were Da Ya Get It who has had 30 days off the scene.

How to play it: Episodic E/W ($14 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 2 - 6:30PM FURPHY HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

4. Stellar Performer had too much to do first-up at Warwick Farm and ran on well into fifth. Further, she got too far back in a very slow pace and had to make a long-wide sustained run clocking strong closing splits. The mare will be fitter for that effort, is proven on rain-affected ground and the smaller field suits.

Dangers1. Sensationalisation comes through the same race as Stella Performer, who started a longer price and had every chance. However, she maps to have all favours, and Nash Rawiller jumps on. 3. Grace Bay was checked at a critical stage and lost her momentum last start. 7. True Valentine receives a significant barrier change, and 5. Songbird Serenade is rock-hard fit.

How to play it: Stellar Performer WIN ($4.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 3 - 7:00PM REGAL STAGE HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

7. De An Andretti  was 30 days between runs last start at this track/distance and was honest in defeat. The four-year-old profiles well for this event and is ready to peak third-up with a positive race setup. Additionally, she has a strong SP profile and gets a weight swing on some of her key rivals. Expect a bold showing.

Dangers3. Bitcoin Baby raced wide throughout last start at Warwick Farm and tried hard to finish third. She is rock-hard fit, receives a significant barrier change and can go close. 9. Carartie had excuses last start and 4. Essonne is a consistent type. Add 2. Nicci's Fling to trifectas and first fours.

How to play it: De An Andretti WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.

Race 4 - 7:30PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Keen on 5. Kazou coming out of the Chris Waller yard, who resumes and has trialled well recently at Rosehill. The three-year-olds debut win was impressive, and she did it on both ends. Moreover, she led at a fast pace and then showed a sharp turn of foot, running the second-fastest final 200m split of the meeting in 12.16. To add merit to her performance, that race rated highly relative to the day and the decisive margins throughout confirmed the quality. The filly has key attributes, maps to have all favours and James McDonald rides. In addition, repeating her first-up figure from last campaign will make her hard to beat.

Dangers2. Baroque Road was solid first-up in a stronger grade where he chased a fast tempo and stuck on well. He will be fitter after a long time off and get every chance from barrier one with Nash Rawiller riding. 8. Syrian Star arguably should've won last start, where she was blocked for most of the straight, but she found the line well once clear. 3. Citizenship broke through for his maiden win in style and add 1. Brudenell to trifectas and first fours.

How to play it: Kazou WIN ($1.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 5 - 8:00PM TAB HANDICAP (1900 METRES)

2. Taraashoq is a consistent type, and he overcame difficulties to score in style at this track/distance last start. Further, the time was solid, and there have been two subsequent winners to confirm the form. The five-year-old has a trickier setup here but brings a strong ratings profile relative to his rivals and has the best last-start figure. In addition, he is rock-hard fit and will roll forward. Expect a forward showing.

Dangers1. Yukon was 28 days between runs six days ago at Randwick and wasn't suited to the race shape. He is now at optimal fitness and ready to peak on a short backup. 4. Field Legend overcame the slow tempo last start at this track/distance and swamped his rivals late to score. He is on an upwards ratings spiral this prep and can only improve again fourth-up. 8. Zouson Boy and 5. Tarns Prince will have on-pace favours.

How to play it: Taraashoq WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 6 - 8:30PM MICROPHONE FIRST YEARLINGS HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

4. Daytona sat outside the leader in a genuine tempo last start at Rosehill and tried hard in defeat, running second. The three-year-old profiles well for this race and has an improved race setup. James McDonald rides from a soft draw which will allow him to find cover, and the gelding is proven on rain-affected ground. Additionally, he has multiple winning figures and expect a bold showing.

Dangers3. Regal Pom had nearly every chance last start at Warwick farm but raced well and beat the rest easily. He is ready to peak fourth-up over more ground and can rate to win. Forgiving of 10. Charity Spirit's last start where she was well backed late in the trade at Kembla but had excuses. She receives a significant barrier change and excels on wet ground. 8. Watch The Clock and 7. Mystic Mermaid are both last-start winners and must be respected.

How to play it: Daytona WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 7 - 9:00PM JOHN MCGRATH KIA EVENING STAR (1250 METRES)

7. Dalaalaat was impressive, winning a Midway Handicap (1200m) last start at Rosehill, running slick time, and he posted a career peak figure. The Nathan Doyle trained galloper races well off freshen-ups, and although he has a tricker setup here, the anticipated genuine tempo will give him his chance to charge late. A repeat of his last start performance will put him in the finish.

Dangers9. Invincible Kiss, who represents value, has been racing in stronger grades and gets in well at the weights after the claim for Jett Stanley. She is rock-hard fit, will roll forward and can rate to win. Knockout chance. 6. Never Second was well-ridden to score first-up but will appreciate the step up in distance. 2. Dynamic Impact is undefeated at this track, and 8. Game Theory can give a sight.

How to play it: Dalaalaat WIN ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds) & Invincible Kiss WIN ($34 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: ODDS.

Race 8 - 9:30PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

12. Girl Mania was honest last start in a stronger grade at Rosehill, and her ratings/sectional profile suggests she is ready to peak third-up. The mare has the key asset of acceleration, and although drawn wide, she can swamp her rivals late. Additionally, she is a consistent type, the tight-turning track suits, and she represents value. Each-way.

Dangers7. Allusionist was suited when winning first-up at Gosford but will derive benefit again from that performance, and he drops 2kg. 9. Dashing Legend resumes and has trailed well in preparation for this assignment. The filly raced well last prep when contesting Listed races, and she sets up well here from a soft draw. 11. Seven Sisters broke through for her maiden win last start and 1. Lancaster Bomber will be thereabouts again.

How to play it: Girl Mania E/W ($9.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Best Bet: Race 6 # 4 – Daytona

Next Best: Race 4 # 5 - Kazou

Best Value: Race 1 # 7 – Episodic


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