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Brad Gray's Tips For Day 2 Of The Star Championships (Randwick Saturday)

Racecourse : Randwick (Australia)
Racecourse : Randwick (Australia) Picture: Jason McCawley/Getty Images

Race 1 - 11:40AM GRAINSHAKER AUSTRALIAN VODKA FERNHILL MILE (1600 METRES)

1. Bobby Shiraz sat outside of the leader at Eagle Farm on debut and won well, holding off a late charge from Felix The Scat. The runner up had won his previous start by four lengths at Doomben. The overall time was slow but the two length margin back to third bodes well as a form race going forward. The son of Savabeel will relish getting out to the mile now and he has the speed to take up another prominent position in running, likely to settle in the same position at start two, outside of the leader. The appeal with this gelding, other than his price, is also that he brings an alternative form line. There doesn't look to be much between many of the other key chances, all coming through similar races where nothing separated them.

Dangers5. Kintyre's form ties in through the likes of 2. Inhibitions and 6. Make A Call but he looks the pick of them. He too gives the impression he'll eat up the mile and being a half brother to Fireburn, the prospect of getting onto a heavy track for the first time doesn't hold any fears. The cherry on top is how well he maps. 3. Tom Kitten could have hit the line a touch better in the VRC Sires's but none of his rivals here are of the quality of Veight just yet. Veight backed up that victory with a fourth in the Sires' Produce to frank that form line. That was four weeks ago now but Tom Kitten has trialled well since over 1200m at Warwick Farm.

How To Play It: Bobby Shiraz WIN

Race 2 - 12:15PM BISLEY WORKWEAR SOUTH PACIFIC CLASSIC (1400 METRES)

7. Razeta is worth a look at big odds in this. The daughter of Deep Field brings the 'A Grade' fillies form. Her finishing positions in the form guide don't do her justice. She was only beaten two lengths by In Secret first up in the Light Fingers first up before finishing just three lengths away in what has proven to be one of the hottest Group Ones of the carnival, the Surround Stakes. The depth of that race is incredible and she finished alongside Sheeza Belter, who since placed in the Coolmore, and Fireburn, since placed in the Vinery. Razeta's latest run was a complete forget, flushed wide over the mile at Flemington. She isn't a six lengths inferior horse to Revolutionary Miss. That gave us no guide. Freshened since then, back to 1400m and the sting out of the ground suits.

Dangers12. Stylised won a maiden at Rosehill in good style at just his second ever start before finding himself at single figure odds in a Gloaming Stakes. He ran well too, beaten less than two lengths by Sharp 'N' Smart. That reads well for this. He returns a gelding and has trialled once, looking sharp behind Zou Tiger. 10. Hawaii Five Oh was beaten fair and square by Watch The Clock at the midweeks first up but there was still plenty of merit to his second. Prior to that he bumped into the subsequent Derby winner at Newcastle. He just won't want the track to be too wet. 9. Cool Jakey comes through that same midweek race and although it's all happened quickly for this gelding, he's coping with everything being thrown his way. 2. Perfect Thought rates a mention.

How To Play It: Razeta EACH WAY

Race 3 - 12:50PM TRESEMMÉ PERCY SYKES STAKES (1200 METRES)

3. Autumn Ballet maps to get on speed favours, punching up to potentially hold the front from barrier 1, and make it two from two having won the Black Opal on debut, something that had never been done before. On that occasion she parked in behind the speed before unleashing a powerful finish to win by two lengths. The result was never in doubt. It wasn't a vintage Black Opal but it was a dominant victory on paper. The Waterhouse-Bott trained filly has been freshened up since then, savaging the line in a tickover trial at Rosehill since then. Her pedigree suggests that she'll be even better in time over further but this race sets up beautifully for her on Saturday being the fresh horse in the scene still with untold upside.

Dangers1. Lazzago brings the strongest form lines having contested the Golden Slipper after beating Facile and Blanc De Blanc in the Sweet Embrace prior. The Slipper was a non-event, however, copping interference which put her out of play. We saw Militarize bounce off a similar effort to take out the Sires'. The timing looks right for 6. Kimochi having won impressively at the midweeks first up, and running significantly faster time than the colts and geldings race won by Libertad. We've seen what he has done since. Being by Brave Smash she probably wouldn't want the track to be too wet. 10. Tiz Invincible will keep Autumn Ballet company up front and covered ground in the Black Opal. She was heavily backed in betting. 9. Kristilli was an eye-catcher behind Kimochi on debut.

How To Play It: Autumn Ballet WIN

Race 4 - 1:25PM POLYTRACK PROVINCIAL-MIDWAY CHAMPIONSHIPS FINAL (1400M)

The best is still to come from 5. Kayobi. The lightly-raced four-year-old has been carefully managed to date, winning four of his six starts, and four from four in the hands of Sam Kavanagh. Kayobi booked his spot in the final with an impressive win at Gosford. Not impressive margin-wise, but in the context of him not really being a 1200m horse, nor a Gosford style of horse. Audette and Loch Eagle have franked the form through that race and look two of his key dangers. Getting out to the 1400m at Randwick could see the son of Maurice go to another level again. In fact, would be surprised if we don't see a career best on Saturday given the set up. A wet track won't stop him and was encouraged to see him hold a spot from the draw first up.

Dangers11. Short Shorts won't want the track too wet. That's the only negative with her. She made light work of her rivals at Kembla Grange first up, and that win was no fluke. It was similar to the manner in which she gapped her rivals at Rosehill last campaign, with a showing of sustained speed. 1. Audette was brave to win at Warwick Farm second up, improving her already brilliant record. She's a line chaser. 3. Loch Eagle will need a few things to fall into place given where he has drawn but he reminded us of what he is capable of last start at Newcastle, getting out to 1400m. The wetter the better for 2. Acquitted, while it'll be foolish to underestimate 12. Essonne given her record.

How To Play It: Kayobi WIN

Race 5 - 2:00PM ARROWFIELD 3YO SPRINT (1200 METRES)

If 1. Aft Cabin repeats what he did in the Eskimo Prince Stakes over 1200m at Randwick back in February, it's times and margins. Since then, the Astern colt had excuses in a fast run Hobartville, riding the speed from a wide gate, before the mile perhaps saw him out in the Randwick Guineas. He was $1.60 and $2.60 in those two defeats. That last start effort was five weeks ago now so James Cummings has had ample time to freshen him to tackle a sprint trip. Aft Cabin looked sharp when winning a Randwick trial since then, holding off Kementari and Mazu. He handles all tracks so whatever Saturday's conditions throw up won't bother him. Expecting him to come out and justify the even money quote.

Dangers2. Zou Tiger ran second to Aft Cabin in the Eskimo Prince. Their form ties in neatly all through the autumn. He too has trialled sweetly since the Randwick Guineas and like the addition of blinkers for the first time. 4. Kote has been ridden quietly at his past two starts and he has charged to the line. The draw dictates that he'll be giving away a fair head start to his main dangers turning for home, which limits his winning chances, but he has obvious place claims. 6. Swiss Exile was only first up when fourth to Opal Ridge and Kote and he got squeezed out at the start which saw him settle much further back than we've come to expect from him. He's easy to overlook at big odds.

How To Play It: Aft Cabin WIN

Race 6 - 2:35PM THE STAR AUSTRALIAN OAKS (2400 METRES)

5. Arts wasn't entitled to put four lengths on her rivals in the Adrian Knox on Saturday given the race turned into a sprint home. Sure, she handled the testing conditions best but a similar track seemingly awaits these fillies on Saturday. The back up from a heavy track into another testing wet track out to 2400m could prove a significant advantage. It's all happened very quickly for Arts having tailed off last in the Kembla Grange Classic the start prior but she bounced back in a big way getting out to 2000m and being ridden more conservatively. Ed Cummings won the Adrian Knox with Duais a few years back before she ran on into second behind Hungry Heart in the ATC Oaks. Without Prowess here, we don't have a dominant staying filly but the lightly raced Arts may have put her hand up at exactly the right time.

Dangers10. Premise has a big margin to turn around on Arts but she was exposed a long way from home, having drawn a wide gate. It's a different set up on Saturday from a better draw. She'll close the margin on Arts and has always given the impression that she'd relish 2400m. 2. Pavitra was no match for Prowess in the Vinery, holding down second from a wall of chasers. Can't see with any great certainty that she'd have held the pack off over much further than 2000m. However, she'll put herself in a controlling position again. A drying track would enhance her claims. 4. Polygon comes through the Vinery and it was a deceptively good seventh from an Oaks perspective. She clocked the fastest last 600m split in the race. 3. Fireburn was coming again through the line in the Vinery.

How To Play It: Arts WIN

Race 7 - 3:15PM SCHWEPPES SYDNEY CUP (3200 METRES)

14. King Frankel was only beaten a length in the G1 Tancred Stakes last start and has an equally appealing profile compared to that of Cleveland. King Frankel plummets 9kg in the Sydney Cup. In the Tancred Stakes he was asked to get rolling a long way from home, that was despite the pressure cranking up in the middle stages yet there he was still in the finish. The race was set up for a stalker. The five-year-old also has a tactical advantage over a couple of his key rivals. He'll roll forward from the tricky 3200m start, settling in front of many of his market dangers. This has been the target for the Mark Newnham-trained stayer all campaign and the timing looks to be spot on. The son of Frankel handles all tracks and has a tenacious streak that has seen him win four of his seven starts in Australia.

Dangers2. Knights Order is back to defend his Sydney Cup crown. He is being asked to carry 5kg more 12 months on but his front-running style in these distance events make him dangerous. Particularly when he gets a rain affected surface. He's yet to get that this preparation. Nobody missed the run of 11. Cleveland in the Tancred. That tops him off perfectly for a two mile handicap. The only knock is the price in the context of the start he'll likely be giving away. 12. High Emocean ran a slashing third in the Melbourne Cup on the quick back up last preparation and the stable have mirrored that going into this. Thought she was the pick of the Chairmans runners. That's not to say 7. Surefire won't run well while don't be too quick to dismiss 9. Sir Lucan.

How To Play It: King Frankel WIN

Race 8 - 3:55PM LONGINES QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES (2000 METRES)

2. Dubai Honour gave his rivals a touch up in the Ranvet. It was a demolition. He put over four lengths on Montefilia and Mo'unga. That form ties in neatly to Anamoe and if not for a slip on the home turn, Montefilia would've subsequently won the BMW. Dubai Honour's win was just as impressive on the clock as it was to the eye too. The five-year-old settled in a perfect spot behind a moderate early speed before cranking up the pressure at the 800m, sustaining his sprint right through the line. The William Haggas stable have said all along that he is even better on wet tracks. That's ominous. All he has to do is repeat what he did two weeks ago and it'd take a herculean task from Anamoe to match him.

Dangers1. Anamoe has nine Group Ones already to his name. He has won seven of his past eight starts, largely on the back of a fierce will to win. He has made winning a habit and simply does what he has to in order to get the job done. The prospect of Dubai Honour breathing down his neck is a very different prospect to Fangirl, with all due respect to the mare. 4. Cascadian is an evergreen eight-year-old still racing at the top of his game. The last start Australian Cup winner loves the Randwick 2000m and his Mr Brightside form prior reads even better now. Front-running Japanese galloper 7. Unicorn Lion will carve across to take up the running and make his rivals chase him down. 8. Zeyrek strikes this in career best form.

How To Play It: Dubai Honour WIN

Race 9 - 4:35PM SYDNEY QUEEN OF THE TURF STAKES (1600 METRES)

The market has been quick to forget about 10. Statement . Arguably too quick. The Joseph O'Brien-trained mare was sent around favourite in the Emancipation Stakes two weeks ago. She got nothing more than a pass mark for her middling ninth, beaten five lengths but that was on a good track. Her best previous form has been on wet tracks. That includes her dominant Group Three win at Tipperary in Ireland before she jetted off to Australia. She put 5.5 lengths on her rivals on soft ground. Wouldn't at all be surprised to see the five-year-old turn her form around sharply. There is more than enough in the early price to take that gamble. Can't remember a deeper edition of the Queen Of The Turf so there was always going to be a couple that slipped the net of the bookies.

Dangers3. Levante clocked the second quickest last 600m split of the meeting when fifth behind Anamoe in the George Ryder Stakes. It was a slashing run from the Kiwi mare. The prospect of a heavy track is a little concern. Mares backing up from the Doncaster have a terrific recent record in this race, providing two of the past three winners. 5. Hope In Your Heart was the pick of them, sustaining a wide run from last to run fourth. No horses did that all day given how testing the track was. 2. Fangirl was so brave in seventh given she doesn't like wet ground. She'll want Randwick to miss any rain leading into Saturday. Hard to deny 7. Sirileo Miss a winning chance given the form she is in at the moment, running her rivals into the ground. She'll have 12. Pride Of Jenni for company up front. The knock on 1. Alcohol Free is the price. Must mention 8. Atishu and 15. Times Square too.

How To Play It: Statement EACH WAY

Race 10 - 5:10PM TAB SAPPHIRE STAKES (1200 METRES)

Taking a punt on 1. Princess Grace. The six-year-old mare, formerly trained in America, has three Group One placings to her name and has won seven of her 14 starts. She is yet to race below a mile and hasn't seen a soft track let alone a heavy one. Of course there are queries, hence why double figures odds are being bet. She's so well placed under the set weights plus penalties conditions of the race. What really made her standout as a potential first up winner, even over 1200m, was the way she has trialled on two occasions for Chris Waller. Thought she looked exceptionally sharp in both hitouts. Drawn well, finds Joao Moreira. Perhaps we're about to see the next Con Te Partiro or Lighthouse, that had no trouble adapting quickly to the Australian racing conditions.

Dangers: Want to be very forgiving of 3. Expat's run in the G1 Coolmore last start. It was on an improving Good 3 track and she tracked a hot speed set by Pride Of Jenni. Has changed stables since then, finding a home with Joe Pride. A trainer with a proven track record with older mares. Expat's run prior was a beauty in a deep Millie Fox Stakes. 4. Zapateo lobbed into a lovely trailling position last start and took advantage to win well. The wide gate doesn't make this as straightforward, however, and she's come up very short in early betting. 9. Never Talk's chances hinge on the track. The wetter the better. The drier the better for 2. Kiku though. Wouldn't be surprised to see 13. Dalchini hitting the line late at huge odds.

How To Play It: Princess Grace EACH WAY


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